Green Bay Packers vs. Chicago Bears NFL Playoffs Wild Card Betting Picks

These games are never simple, but I like the Green Bay Packers as a short favorite here. The Chicago Bears playing at home gives them an edge, but I still prefer Green Bay’s experience and roster.

We’ve seen these teams play twice in recent weeks. The games played out relatively similarly, with the Packers being the better team.

The Packers outperformed the Bears virtually everywhere in Green Bay. They consistently made big plays, and they converted their only red zone possession. Green Bay struggled with penalties in that game, and they still ended up winning by a touchdown.

The Bears ended up with an overtime win in the second game, but it was more luck than anything. Green Bay controlled virtually the entire game before Chicago kicked a field goal, recovered an onside kick, and scored a touchdown in the last two minutes of the game.

Chicago winning that second game is likely the best thing that could’ve happened for anyone who believes Green Bay should be favored here. If that ridiculous comeback doesn’t happen, the spread would be drastically wider here.

The other aspect of that second game is that Jordan Love was injured relatively early on. Malik Willis performed well, but he limited the offense a bit. Josh Jacobs was also hurt, leading to more Emanuel Wilson throughout the game.

The key here is that the Packers are finally getting healthier. Jordan Love will be back, and reports are that Josh Jacobs is feeling drastically better after getting rest. Zach Tom is currently questionable, but he’s expected to play, adding to Green Bay’s offensive line.

Chicago is also getting healthier, which will play a role in this game. Rome Odunze and Kyler Gordon are expected to play, specifically with Gordon making a major difference in the Chicago secondary.

The overall key to this game is that we’ve seen it twice. The circumstances have changed slightly, but the game has played out similarly both times. It’s been clear that Green Bay is the better team, although it isn’t by a wide margin.

We’ve seen teams like the Bears, who have several cardiac wins throughout the season, run out of luck once they hit the playoffs. This is an awesome matchup for the NFL, and I’m backing the team with more playoff experience here.

Where to Bet: Green Bay Packers moneyline | -124 at Caesars

2025 NFL Season Betting Record: 25-42