NFL Week 13 Best Sports Betting Picks, Predictions December 1, 2024

Football weather arrives with the flip of the calendar to December. 

The runway to the playoffs is primed for top contenders. Detroit and Kansas City (thank you, Travis Kelce) already put wins on the books for Week 13, and Buffalo can follow suit. But the Bills might need to wait for the snow plows to do their business Sunday afternoon with a few feet of snow in the forecast before the evening primetime affair with the 49ers kicks off. 

While Denver is a tough place to play again, there should be less concern about precipitation in Atlanta. The Chargers are 1.5-point favorites but go at the Falcons without top back J.K. Dobbins and lost to the Ravens on Monday night. 

Let’s tease a parlay with a Monday cliffhanger wrapped around our other two favorite picks and find a prop that looks too good to be true as we test our luck in Week 13.

Three-team teaser parlayed at +6 to +140 odds at FanDuel

Cleveland Browns @ Denver Broncos Monday 8:15pm ET

Denver Broncos: -5.5, +0.5 Spread

San Fransisco 49ers @ Buffalo Bills Sunday 8:20pm ET

Buffalo Bills: -5.5, +0.5 Spread

Los Angeles Chargers @ Atlanta Falcons Sunday 1:00pm ET

Los Angeles Chargers: -1.5, +4.5 Spread

We understand the trepidation of those thinking fate is being tempted by doubting the Browns, who bagged wins over the Ravens and Steelers and are showing some serious swagger with Jameis Winston at the controls. But a one-point Denver win is far less than any trusted projection, and this is the time of year where homefield starts to matter. 

There’s a cardiac nature to the teams we are pushing against in this three-leg teaser, and the rationale is following teams you are most confident can win straight up and teasing them to the number. 

Cleveland has one road win this season—at Jacksonville Week 2—but has the defense to stick around against most teams. What has been largely discounted in Denver is the level of dominance its defense flashes from a constant pass rush to one of the best secondaries in the NFL. While we can get on board with Winston’s enthusiasm, he’s also a turnover-prone risk-taker capable of flipping a game in the other direction. 

The Falcons come off their bye week for a physical test against the Chargers’ offensive line. Atlanta’s issue much of the season has been the inability to put games away. If Los Angeles receivers catch the ball this week, this is a game Justin Herbert can win.

Brock Purdy is back for the 49ers, but San Francisco’s defense without Nick Bosa isn’t equipped to match Josh Allen.

Eagles at Ravens, 4:25 p.m. ET

Baltimore’s secondary was spared only by the shaky hands of the Chargers’ wideouts on Monday. The Ravens have no choice but to gear up to stop Saquan Barkley and Jalen Hurts, and that means one-on-one coverage most of the day for A.J. Brown. 

Baltimore’s big-game allowances are becoming the stuff of legend. 

The Ravens have been hit for 22 TD passes this season and were stung by multiple passing touchdowns six times already this season. Even with the big red circle around Ja’Marr Chase, the Bengals went to him for a grand total of 20 receptions and five touchdowns in two games against the Ravens. Commanders WR Terry McLaurin had a two-TD game at Baltimore on Oct. 13. 

Eagles WR A.J. Brown to score 2+ TDs, +1000 (DraftKings, FanDuel)