Orioles vs. Twins Prediction, Odds and Best Bet for Monday

The Baltimore Orioles (57-61) and the Minnesota Twins (58-61) meet in the opener of a three-game series at Target Field in Minneapolis on Monday night. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET.

The Orioles salvaged the series finale Sunday in Arlington against the Texas Rangers, winning 10-5 as a slight underdog as the Over cashed. The 10-run outburst tied the most runs for Baltimore since inexplicably erupting for a dozen runs in a 12-1 road rout of the Los Angeles Dodgers on June 21.

Sunday’s victory halted a three-game losing streak, and the Over snapped a five-game run Under streak. The Under is still 6-1-1 in the past eight outings. Baltimore is an impressive 4-3 in the past seven road outings, while the Over is 4-2 in the past six games away from home.

The Twins suffered a pair of gut-wrenching 4-3 loss to the Milwaukee Brewers on Saturday and Sunday at American Family Field. Minnesota is now just 2-6 in the past eight games, while the Under is 3-1-1 in the previous five contests.

At the MLB non-waiver trade deadline, the Twins acquired RHP Dean Kremer (1-4, 5.93 ERA, 1.32 WHIP) from the Orioles. Kremer made his team debut in Kansas City on Wednesday, allowing just one run and three hits with two walks across five innings in a no-decision, as the Twins won 2-1. Now, he’ll get a crack against his former team.

The Orioles counter with LHP Trevor Rogers (7-7, 4.20 ERA, 1.24 WHIP), as he gets the chance to face his former rotation mate. Rogers is 3-0 with a 2.32 ERA and 1.03 WHIP across his past seven starts across 42.2 IP.

Minnesota has managed just a 17-22 record against left-handed starting pitchers this season, and they’re 13-12 vs. AL East opponents this season. The Twins are just 30-27 at home, too.

Baltimore has posted a 25-31 record on the road, and it has a minus-33 run differential, which is slightly better than Minnesota at minus-35. The O’s have managed a 16-9 record against AL Central teams this season, too.

These teams met three times in late March at Camden Yards in Baltimore, with the Orioles taking two of those games. Rogers picked up his first victory of the season, twirling seven scoreless innings with three hits and four walks while striking out five batters in a win and quality start.

Let’s back the ORIOLES (-112) on the moneyline based on the hot pitching of Rogers lately, as well as the struggles of the Twins against southpaws. If you’re looking for a same-game parlay (SGP), too, look to the UNDER 8.5 (-106).