UFC London Betting Picks: Best Plays for Fight Night

The UFC has returned for its annual excursion to the United Kingdom, as UFC London takes place on March 21 from the O2 Arena in London, England. The promotion will bring along not only a bunch of British-born fighters, but also a high-stakes main event to determine the next challenger for UFC featherweight champion Alexander Volkanovski.

The main event will be a title eliminator between two undefeated featherweight top contenders – Movsar Evloev and Lerone Murphy. Evloev is known for his takedowns and wrestling, working his way to a 19-0 record in MMA. Evloev, the former M-1 bantamweight champion, has not fought since defeating Aljamain Sterling at UFC 310 in December 2024. Murphy is 17-0-1, with his sole non-win coming in a draw with Zubaira Tukhugov in his UFC debut at UFC 242. Murphy rides into this fight off his highlight knockout of Aaron Pico at UFC 319.

The co-main will also feature featherweight action as Luke Riley makes his second UFC appearance, taking on Michael Aswell. The 11-0 Riley debuted at UFC Qatar in November, defeating Bogdan Grad. Aswell is 1-1 in the UFC, losing to Bolaji Oki in his UFC debut before a first-round finish of Lucas Almedia at UFC Rio in October.

The main card will also feature Michael “Venom” Page vs. Sam Patterson, Iwo Baraniewski vs. Austen Lane, Roman Dolidze vs. Christian Leroy Duncan, and Kurtis Campbell vs. Danny Silva.

LUKE RILEY VS MICHAEL ASWELL

Luke Riley is a name to watch and a strong play to help round out some parlays at minimum. As mentioned, Riley had a strong Octagon debut, and he’s got a strong track record. He had a great run in Cage Warriors and has finished nine of his 12 victories so far. Aswell isn’t a pushover, but Riley’s a youngster who is putting together that perfect striking package of precision, power, timing, and speed.

Aswell could look to use grappling, but Riley is a top prospect for a reason. He’s developing into a well-rounded fighter with a bright future.

BET: Luke Riley to win (Moneyline) (DraftKings: -192)

ROMAN DOLIDZE VS CHRISTIAN LEROY DUNCAN

If there is a list of fighters who are ones to watch in 2026, Christian Leroy Duncan is on that list. And if he fights a smart fight, this is a very winnable matchup for him – and that would be awesome for his sake. CLD has some great striking skills, and using them on the feet is what’s going to get him the win.

Dolidze, on the other hand, has a solid wrestling base. His objective will be to close the distance, get inside on CLD, and dominate the grappling department. His best chance honestly is to get the fight to the ground. That said, I trust CLD’s grappling defense a lot more than I do the way Dolidze can try and defend against his striking. If CLD fights the fight he should, Dolidze’s time in the rankings could be coming to an end – and CLD’s time would just be beginning.

BET: Christian Leroy Duncan via KO/TKO/DQ (FanDuel: +135)

MASON JONES VS. AXEL SOLA

There’s a lot of hype around Mason Jones as being one of the strongest prospects to come out of the United Kingdom, and for a good reason. Jones has won six straight fights after starting his UFC tenure just 1-2 (1 NC). The Cage Warriors champion has such a strong grappling game with his background in Brazilian jiu-jitsu and judo. And if he compromises an opponent in a dominant ground position, the strikes he can land may have dangerous consequences for the opposition.

This is your typical grappler vs. striker matchup. Sola can win this fight if he manages to hold off Jones’ takedown attempts well and can take control in the striking exchanges right away. To hold that all for 15 minutes, however, might be a bit of a problem against a talent like Jones.

BET: Mason Jones to win (Moneyline) (FanDuel: -134)