Wimbledon 2026 Predictions: Best Bets for the Men's Draw

What we’re going to learn at the All England Club over the next two weeks is just how badly two-time Wimbledon champion Carlos Alcaraz is missed. That wrist injury is preventing Alcaraz from the chance at sailing to another major victory.

Jannik Sinner (-165 to win the tournament) is the defending champion and the top seed but he’s not in top form. He wilted in the second round of the French Open due to the heat (it will be hot in London, too) and lost in the semifinals of the Australian Open earlier this year. This could be a year in which you see multiple underdogs advancing to the quarterfinals or deeper.

Does seven-time Wimbledon champion Novak Djokovic (+600) have one last run in him? The 39-year-old Djokovic is the No. 7 seed and on the same side of the draw as Sinner. No. 2 seed Alexander Zverev (+900) is fresh off the Roland Garros crown and none of the No. 3-6 seeds pack betting confidence – Felix Auger-Aliassime (+6500), Ben Shelton (+1600), Alex de Minaur (+6500) and Taylor Fritz (+2000).

Wimbledon 2026 betting pick

Djokovic (+150) is the favorite of his 32-player section to reach the semifinals with Auger-Aliassime (+500), Joao Fonseca (+700) and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (+750) next in line. The last of Djokovic’s Wimbledon titles came in 2022 against Nick Kyrgios. He lost in the final in 2023 and 2024 to Alcaraz. No Alcaraz means he has a real chance at recording No. 8 if his fitness holds up.

Sinner (-475 to reach the semis) reached the title match of all four Grand Slam tournaments in 2025, winning two and losing two. He surely wants to rebound from his poor French Open showing. Another help is his 32-player section is weak with Daniil Medvedev (+850) and Tommy Paul (+900) ranking as his biggest competition. Casper Ruud (+4000), who is better on clay than grass, also is part of the section.

The pressure is off Zverev after winning his first Grand Slam crown but is he mentally and physically to make another strong run just more than one month later? He’s never even made a quarterfinal run at Wimbledon and lost in the first round last season.

Novak Djokovic to win Wimbledon, +600 (DraftKings)

The American Band

Any chance seven-time Wimbledon champ Pete Sampras is capable of returning to the sport a la Serena Williams? Not a single American has won Wimbledon since Sampras won No. 7 in 2000. That’s an embarrassing drought. Andy Roddick reached the title match three times (2004, 2005, 2009) and lost to Roger Federer on each occasion.

Shelton reached the quarterfinals last year. He’s the favorite in his 32-player section with de Minaur (+550), a guy who has reached the quarterfinals in seven Grand Slams, and 20-year-old Jakub Mensik (+600) as next in line. The path is there if Shelton is ready.

Taylor Fritz (+350) and Frances Tiafoe (+650) are in the same 32-player section as Zverev (+200) and are both playing in their 40th major tournament without a title. Fritz reached the semis last year and is 10-5 all-time against Zverev but was bounced in the first round of the French Open. Tiafoe has only reached the fourth round at Wimbledon once. Count ‘Big Foe’ as an early departure candidate.

We’ll pass on any American player to win the tournament, +600 (DraftKings)

Long shot to the Final Four

You never know when early upsets will blow a draw open and we only need to look back to the French Open to see one example. While Zverev and Auger-Aliassime were high seeds, the other six to advance to the quarterfinals were Matteo Arnaldi, Matteo Berrettini, Flavio Cobolli, Joao Fonseca, Rafael Jodar and Mensik. Zverev defeated Cobolli in the title match.

Cobolli (+1600 to reach semifinals) is a good player to watch as he has more confidence than at any other point in his career. Cobolli reached the Wimbledon quarterfinals last season, which was his best major showing prior to the run in Paris. He’s in the Shelton 32-player quarter, which is ripe for a surprise run.

Ugo Humbert (+1400) is the type of long shot to watch and he’s also in the Shelton portion. He reached the semifinals at the Queen’s Club last week before falling to Paul and he has reached the final of this week’s tourney at Eastbourne (he will face Zizou Bergs for the title on Saturday and the two will meet again Tuesday in Wimbledon's first round. The problem? He’s never advanced past the fourth round of a major.

Flavio Cobolli to reach semifinals, +1600 (DraftKings)