Arch Manning favorite to be top pick in '27 NFL draft

Field Level Media|published: Mon 27th April, 21:47 2026

Dec 31, 2025; Orlando, FL, USA; Michigan Wolverines defensive lineman Damon Payne (44) tips a pass from Texas Longhorns quarterback Arch Manning (16) during the first half at Camping World Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Matt Pendleton-Imagn Images

Arch Manning has opened as the favorite to be the No. 1 pick in the next NFL draft for the second consecutive year.

The Texas quarterback was installed as the +250 favorite by DraftKings. That's ahead of fellow quarterbacks Dante Moore (+380) of Oregon, Notre Dame's CJ Carr (+650) and South Carolina's LaNorris Sellars (+1200).

After only two quarterbacks were selected in the first round on Friday -- including the Rams surprising many by taking Ty Simpson at No. 13 -- the 2027 quarterback class is projected to be much deeper.

It's led by Manning, who was installed as the +200 favorite by DraftKings following the conclusion of the 2025 class to be the No. 1 pick this year. Manning endured some struggles the first half of last season before finishing strong, and opted to return for another year with the Longhorns.

Moore also decided to return to school despite being projected as a potential top-5 selection, boosting a '27 quarterback class that already boasted intriguing talent. Carr is coming off a strong first season as Notre Dame's starter, while Sellars is looking to bounce back from an injury-plagued 2025 for the Gamecocks.

Ohio State wide receiver Jeremiah Smith has the shortest odds among non-quarterback. He is being offered at +1400 along with new Miami Hurricanes signal-caller Darian Mensah.

2027 NFL DRAFT NO. 1 PICK ODDS*

Arch Manning, QB, Texas (+250)

Dante Moore, QB, Oregon (+380)

CJ Carr, QB, Notre Dame (+650)

LaNorris Sellers, QB, South Carolina (+1200)

Jeremiah Smith, WR, Ohio State (+1400)

Darian Mensah, QB, Miami, Fla. (+1400)

Julian Sayin, QB, Ohio State (+1800)

Drew Mestemaker, QB, Oklahoma State (+2000)

Dylan Steward, LB, South Carolina (+2200)

Colin Simmons, LB, Texas (+3000)

Dayden Maiava, QB, Southern Cal (+3500)