Islanders vs. Mammoth Betting Preview and Prediction: November 14 Top NHL Bet

We only have four four games on the slate today, and one takes place this afternoon in Sweden so let’s skip that and let’s try to turn this thing around stateside.

NHL Season Stats: 3-7 (-3.45 Units)

These are Deadspin's top betting picks and predictions for Islanders vs. Mammoth on Friday November 14.

Islanders at Mammoth

Over 6.5 Goals (-105 DraftKings)

The Islanders enter on the second night of a back-to-back although it's not a long overnight trip for them as they played OT in Vegas on Thursday. That still suggests some tired legs on defense and it's not like they do a great job on that end anyway. They’ve yielded 3.81 Expected goals per 60 minutes, worst in the NHL. 

What’s more they start their backup goalie David Rittich and he’s literally the definition of a generic journeyman NHL fill-in netminder. He started for a couple seasons in Calgary early in his career, but the Islanders are now his 6th stop since 2020. He compiled a 90.1% Save% in his 10 year career, but was at 88.6% in LA last year and has an identical mark as an Islander sub this season. His GSAA is -22.1 in his decade in the league, and -1.7 in his 5 games of action in 2025.

On the flip side, the Isles can put up some offense as they’re 5th in the league with 3.52 xGF/60 and 11th in actual goals per 60 at 3.28. Bo Horvath leads the way with 12 goals and 8 assists in 16 games.

Utah is not too shabby with the puck either, posting an identical 3.28 xFG/60 to the Isles and 3.28 actual goals per 60. Free-agent-to-be Nick Schmaltz is making a great case for a nice payday in a thin class as he has 11 goals and 11 assists. Logan Cooley at 8-6 and Clayton Keller at 7-10 are also off to nice starts as the Mammoth look primed to contend for a playoff spot in the West.

Utah’s D is much better than New York’s as they allow just 3.00 xGA/60, but they are suffering from similar meh play in the nets. Karel Vejmelka likely gets the nod tonight and he has an 88.2% Save% with -4.41 GSAA in a shade under 12 games of action.

Two good offenses, one tired time playing late for the body clocks and mediocre goaltending all leads me towards the Over here.