MLB Picks Today: Best Bets for Diamondbacks vs Mets and Athletics vs Yankees

Off to a tepid start here, though not quite as slow as some of my fantasy baseball players.

Hey Padres; Drake Baldwin, Shea Langeliers and Chase DeLauter all have as many homers (five) as your whole team does, and two of them are Catchers! At least you are better than the Giants, who have combined for just four.

Anyways, lets get back on track with today’s MLB Picks

Season Record 2-5-1, -3.47 Units

Diamondbacks at Mets

Freddy Peralta Over 15.5 Outs Recorded (-120 bet365)

I will be at today’s game, which got bumped up 3 hours to a 4:10 p.m. start on account of the temps dropping down into the 30’s tonight. I don’t remember the Mets ever doing that before but will take it! Anyways, it’s a matchup of team aces as Peralta takes on Zach Gallen. More relevantly for us, he faces an Arizona offense that has not found its stride yet. They’ve slashed an anemic .211/.271/.367 teamwide, fourth worst in MLB. The only thing they have done well actually helps our cause here, and that is that their 20.5% K% ranks 6th best in the league. Corbin Carroll with a 186 wRC+ is their only regular off to a good start, unless you can’t rookie Jose Fernandez who went 3-4 with 2 homers in his first major league game last week, but is 1-12 since then.

Peralta has looked good through two starts with a misleading 4.35 ERA as he has a 2.44 xERA and 2.09 SIERA. Best of all, he’s walked just 2 batters. He does not have a history of pitching terribly deep in games, which is why we get a low outs total today. He went right to this number in his last outing as he made it one to out into the sixth.

Athletics at Yankees

Cam Schlittler Over 6.5 K’s (+114 FanDuel)

The Yankees are home too today, but have chosen to keep the game at night. It must be warmer in the Bronx than in Queens.

Anyways, I tried to attack the Swingin’ and Missin’ A’s with a K prop with a bad pitcher last week (Cristian Javier), let’s take another stab with a good one. The Athletic Baseball Club of Sacramento still leads MLB with a 29.6% K%. Meanwhile Schlittler has looked fantastic, with 15 punch outs in 11.1 IP over his first two starts. The next earned run he yields will be his first. The A’s offense did wake up a bit as they returned to their hitters paradise or a home ballpark last weekend. But I think there’s a good chance they struggle again as they head into the cold vs. a developing star pitcher.