Best MLB Bets July 28th: Top Picks and Predictions for Monday's Slate

It’s always a little rough getting back to the grind after the weekend. But there is something that can help — putting money down on one of the markets from our list of the best MLB bets for Monday, July 28.

If you’re thinking these are going to be the best, most exciting games of the day — I hope so. However, our purpose here is to select the best bets of the day, not necessarily the best games (odds via FanDuel).

Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5) vs. Baltimore Orioles (+106), o/u 9.5

Chris Bassitt’s overall numbers look solid (11-4 record with a 3.88 ERA), but when you look at his road splits, the shine fades: a 3-4 mark in 10 starts with a 5.66 ERA and a .284 opponent batting average.

Baltimore is going with Zach Eflin, who hasn’t been much better at home — 2-3 with a 5.54 ERA and a .308 OBA.

Toronto has hit .296 over the last week, scoring 43 runs. Baltimore is hitting .255, but thanks to 12 home runs, has scored 42 runs in the same stretch.

Our Pick: Over 9.5

Bassitt was solid in his one road start this month, but has otherwise been hit hard away from home. Eflin had a couple of good starts in April but hasn’t been sharp since. I don’t see either side having a clear-cut pitching advantage — this feels like a high-scoring game waiting to happen.

Arizona Diamondbacks (+108) vs. Detroit Tigers (-1.5), o/u 9

Arizona got off to a nice post-break start with a sweep of the Cardinals at home — but then got swept by the Astros and dropped two of three to Pittsburgh, scoring just one run across three games.

This should be an easy win for the Tigers. But they’ve been a mess.

Detroit has dropped 12 of its last 14 and is 2-8 since the break. Outside of Sunday’s 10-run outburst, the offense has been anemic — 23 runs across their last seven games while hitting just .200.

Our Pick: Arizona ML

Neither pitcher is anything to write home about. And neither lineup has been lighting it up. Arizona has lost five of its last six, but Detroit — once the team with the best record in baseball — has completely unraveled.

Until the Tigers can string together at least two wins and prove they’re out of the funk, I’ll take the moneyline for the other side.

Tampa Bay Rays (-102) vs. New York Yankees (+1.5), o/u 8.5

Drew Rasmussen is a solid pitcher (7-5 record, 2.93 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, .219 OBA), but Tampa Bay has been limiting his innings — he hasn’t gone more than four in a start for over a month.

Cam Schlittler has impressed in two starts, but the Yankees are being cautious with the rookie.

Neither team has hit much over the last week (Yankees at .208, Rays at .206).

Our Pick: Under 8.5

With Aaron Judge out, the Yankees’ lineup isn’t as intimidating. And as poorly as Tampa Bay has been swinging it, Schlittler could keep them in check. I’m expecting a relatively low-scoring game here.